Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000057 0.000065
2024-10-13 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082
2024-10-20 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000074 0.000094
2024-10-27 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000081 0.000108
2024-11-03 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000086 0.000119
2024-11-10 0.000014 0.000021 0.000032 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000134
2024-11-17 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000047 0.000070 0.000102 0.000148
2024-11-24 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031 0.000048 0.000073 0.000109 0.000163
2024-12-01 0.000010 0.000018 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000113 0.000172
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000017 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000117 0.000182
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000016 0.000027 0.000047 0.000077 0.000123 0.000196
2024-12-22 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000133 0.000214
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000049 0.000084 0.000139 0.000230
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000015 0.000027 0.000050 0.000088 0.000149 0.000250
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000049 0.000088 0.000151 0.000258
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000049 0.000091 0.000159 0.000275
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000049 0.000091 0.000163 0.000287
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000050 0.000095 0.000172 0.000308
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000099 0.000181 0.000327
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000011 0.000025 0.000051 0.000102 0.000190 0.000348
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000051 0.000102 0.000193 0.000359
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000102 0.000197 0.000371
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000105 0.000204 0.000390